Canberra FC vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
6º
4º
35
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
5 - 2
WWF
93%
5%
1%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
CAN
5 - 1
COO
56%
20%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MDT
3 - 1
CAN
14%
18%
68%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 4
CAN
7%
13%
80%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OKF
2 - 2
CAN
36%
21%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
OKF
44%
22%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
WWF
1 - 3
MON
8%
15%
77%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
GUN
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
COO
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
TUG
0 - 0
MON
11%
17%
72%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |