Canberra FC vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
6º
4º
35
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WWF
2 - 4
CAN
6%
11%
83%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
COO
4 - 4
CAN
43%
21%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
OKF
78%
13%
10%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 2
CAN
69%
16%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
WWF
92%
6%
2%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
OKF
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MON
6 - 0
WWF
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
COO
2 - 1
MON
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MON
2 - 1
TUG
83%
11%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAN
3 - 2
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |