Canberra FC vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
COO
2 - 7
CAN
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CAN
2 - 1
CAN
59%
21%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CAN
2 - 0
WOD
67%
18%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
TUG
0 - 3
CAN
12%
17%
72%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
CAN
16%
18%
66%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 5
CAN
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BEL
3 - 0
MON
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
MON
3 - 2
COO
19%
19%
62%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
CAN
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
CAN
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |