Canberra FC vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GOU
1 - 9
CAN
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
CAN
5 - 4
WOD
77%
14%
9%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
COO
3 - 2
CAN
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 2
CAN
55%
22%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 5
CAN
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
WOD
1 - 2
MON
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CAN
4 - 0
MON
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
MON
0 - 3
CAN
19%
23%
59%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
MON
5 - 0
GOU
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |