Canberra FC vs Gungahlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CUA
4 - 2
CAN
6%
11%
83%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 3
COE
85%
10%
6%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 0
SPA
84%
10%
6%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
COO
3 - 1
CAN
50%
21%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
WOD
1 - 4
CAN
7%
13%
81%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Gungahlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WOD
0 - 1
GUN
30%
21%
48%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TUG
3 - 0
GUN
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
GUN
2 - 4
BEL
12%
15%
73%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
GUN
2 - 0
MON
68%
18%
15%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CUA
3 - 0
GUN
12%
17%
71%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -2 |