Canberra City vs Tuggeranong United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 5
CAN
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CAN
1 - 4
COO
33%
21%
46%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CAN
2 - 2
COE
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
WOD
1 - 2
CAN
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CAN
2 - 3
TUG
88%
8%
4%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TUG
2 - 3
BEL
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
WOD
6 - 3
TUG
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
TUG
1 - 3
BEL
11%
16%
74%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CAN
1 - 0
TUG
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
TUG
0 - 3
CAN
12%
17%
72%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -2 |