Canberra City vs Tuggeranong United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canberra City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
CAN
29%
24%
48%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
5 - 3
COO
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WOD
3 - 2
CAN
13%
19%
67%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 1
CAN
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 5
BEL
77%
14%
8%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -3 |
Matches
Tuggeranong United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TUG
1 - 6
COO
15%
19%
67%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
4 - 3
TUG
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TUG
2 - 3
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
TUG
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TUG
0 - 1
CAN
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |