Canals vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
GAN
4 - 2
CAN
86%
9%
5%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
CAN
3 - 1
SAG
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
SDS
1 - 0
CAN
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
CAN
3 - 3
ONT
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAN
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
PEG
2 - 1
ALZ
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
OLI
2 - 0
PEG
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
PEG
2 - 4
ALC
40%
23%
38%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
TAV
3 - 1
PEG
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
PEG
3 - 0
OND
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |