Canals vs Manises analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 1
CAN
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 0
QUA
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 1
CAN
39%
28%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CAN
5 - 0
BEN
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
UDC
2 - 3
CAN
31%
29%
41%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manises
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 2
ALA
16%
21%
63%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 4
TCF
15%
21%
63%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PAI
4 - 3
MAN
78%
15%
7%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 3
GAN
16%
23%
61%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
XIR
0 - 0
MAN
37%
25%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |