Canals vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 0
CAN
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 5
LAL
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
TAV
3 - 2
CAN
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 1
DEN
28%
26%
46%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 1
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CTS
2 - 3
UDC
16%
20%
65%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JAV
0 - 0
CTS
52%
25%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CTS
1 - 0
ALC
31%
25%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
CTS
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CTS
1 - 0
FCC
73%
18%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |