Canada vs Trinidad and Tobago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 0
HND
31%
27%
43%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
CUB
0 - 1
CAN
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 0
USA
21%
27%
52%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ARM
3 - 1
CAN
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
4 - 0
KNA
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Trinidad and Tobago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ATG
0 - 4
TTO
17%
22%
61%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TTO
2 - 3
FIN
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
TTO
2 - 0
GUY
76%
16%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GUY
2 - 1
TTO
17%
21%
63%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
TTO
4 - 0
BRB
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |