Carioca B2 Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Campo Grande vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campo Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MES
2 - 9
CGA
11%
15%
74%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 3
CIG
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 10
CGA
11%
16%
73%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CGA
2 - 0
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ADC
0 - 0
CGA
12%
17%
71%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
PER
2 - 1
CER
64%
19%
18%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PER
3 - 0
TIG
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 5
PER
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
PER
3 - 0
MES
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ADC
0 - 2
PER
21%
20%
59%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |