Cambrian United vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
67.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 1
TAF
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 4
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 2
GOY
24%
22%
55%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 2
CAM
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 3
CAL
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 1
LLA
48%
23%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NEA
2 - 2
TNS
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TNS
0 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 4
TNS
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
TNS
2 - 2
NEW
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |