Cambrian United vs Llwydcoed AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
53.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
ABE
68%
18%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 0
CAM
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 3
LID
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAM
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CAM
4 - 2
MON
27%
21%
53%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Llwydcoed AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
LLW
0 - 3
ABE
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
LLW
1 - 0
FLI
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | +5 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
LFC
1 - 6
LLW
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MAE
2 - 1
LLW
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2006 |
LLW
1 - 3
MAE
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |