Cambrian United vs Llantwit Major analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CAM
3 - 4
ABE
26%
23%
51%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
CAM
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 2
RHY
33%
24%
43%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAM
68%
19%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 2
CAM
45%
23%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAR
9%
14%
77%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SUF
0 - 1
LLA
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PFC
3 - 1
LLA
7%
12%
81%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | -3 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
AAF
2 - 1
LLA
38%
22%
41%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
LLA
3 - 2
TAF
43%
21%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |