Cambrian United vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
PON
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GAR
2 - 0
CAM
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAL
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAM
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 6
CAM
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
BRI
3 - 0
CWM
63%
20%
18%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BRY
3 - 0
CWM
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 5
CWM
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
CWM
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
CWM
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |