Cambrian United vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.1%
2.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
ABE
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
TAF
1 - 1
CAM
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
BRY
2 - 0
CAM
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 2
CAM
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
CWM
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
3 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
BRI
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
TON
21%
23%
57%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
WES
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |