Cambrian United vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
TON
1 - 1
CAM
43%
23%
34%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 1
BRI
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 0
CAM
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 5
CAM
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 2
TNS
14%
19%
67%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
TON
26%
25%
50%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
TAF
4 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAL
31%
24%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 3
WES
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
TON
4 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |