Cambrian United vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 2
TAF
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CAL
0 - 3
CAM
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CRO
0 - 4
CAM
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 2
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GOY
2 - 1
CAM
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
CWM
1 - 3
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
ABE
18%
23%
59%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
GOY
3 - 0
CAR
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 2
LID
24%
26%
49%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
TAF
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |