Cambrian United vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LID
2 - 5
CAM
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
AAF
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 1
CAM
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAM
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
6 - 0
ABE
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
BRI
13%
18%
69%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
TAF
48%
21%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAE
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 2
LLA
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PON
3 - 6
CAE
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |