Cambrian United vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 3
RIS
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 3
CAM
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 3
CWM
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
LID
0 - 1
CAM
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
GOY
51%
23%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HAV
0 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
MON
66%
19%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 0
BAR
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
UND
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
BRI
75%
15%
9%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |