Cambrian United vs AFC Porth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CWM
4 - 2
CAM
20%
21%
59%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
HAV
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
TON
0 - 0
CAM
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CAM
4 - 1
GOY
69%
17%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PON
2 - 1
CAM
32%
25%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Porth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AFC
4 - 2
GOY
59%
19%
21%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AFC
4 - 4
BRY
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 0
WES
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 2
AFC
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
CWM
77%
15%
9%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |