Calzada CDB vs Atlético Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
64.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-99%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calzada CDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SCR
3 - 0
CAL
38%
22%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PCN
2 - 1
CAL
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
STO
0 - 1
CAL
59%
20%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
INF
2 - 3
CAL
60%
20%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
ALM
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AMG
0 - 1
EST
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDP
4 - 1
AMG
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SCR
1 - 4
AMG
21%
20%
60%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AMG
2 - 0
PCN
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STO
1 - 2
AMG
45%
21%
34%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |