Calzada CDB vs Atletico Puerta Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calzada CDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 4
CAL
32%
23%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 0
BOL
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
POZ
3 - 1
CAL
60%
21%
20%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
POB
1 - 1
CAL
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
4 - 3
COR
33%
24%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Puerta Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
APT
1 - 1
CAS
36%
22%
42%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
BOL
4 - 3
APT
44%
20%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
APT
1 - 4
POZ
14%
17%
69%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SCR
3 - 1
APT
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
APT
1 - 2
POB
19%
18%
64%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |