Calvia vs UD Alaró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+163%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SHO
1 - 0
CAL
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAL
49%
23%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
SSA
2 - 3
CAL
40%
22%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CEX
2 - 2
CAL
42%
24%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD Alaró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
UDA
2 - 1
ALG
37%
25%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 1
UDA
41%
26%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 1
SER
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SCD
1 - 4
UDA
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UDA
3 - 0
ALQ
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |