Calvia vs Porreres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
78.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SIN
3 - 0
CAL
60%
21%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 2
UDR
9%
17%
74%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CMI
0 - 0
CAL
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 3
PDC
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FER
0 - 2
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Porreres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
ACM
88%
9%
3%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 3
POR
12%
18%
71%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
POR
8 - 0
SJO
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 2
POR
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
POR
5 - 0
POR
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |