Calvia vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+105%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
STA
1 - 3
CAL
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
PET
3 - 1
CAL
31%
25%
45%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 3
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ALQ
3 - 3
CAL
31%
24%
46%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 2
CDS
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
PET
48%
24%
27%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
FER
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
ALQ
44%
24%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CDS
0 - 2
FER
64%
20%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
ESP
68%
20%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |