Calvia vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+163%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
SSA
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
CEX
31%
25%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
CDG
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
RLV
3 - 1
CAL
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
UDA
36%
26%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 2
ALG
30%
25%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SHO
2 - 0
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 0
ALL
69%
19%
13%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PCR
1 - 5
ATL
27%
25%
48%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |