Calvia vs Algaida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+182%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LLO
1 - 8
CAL
28%
22%
51%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 3
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAL
32%
22%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAL
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAL
8 - 0
MAC
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Algaida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALG
1 - 1
ACM
18%
20%
62%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ART
3 - 2
ALG
47%
21%
32%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
ALG
3 - 3
BSF
21%
21%
58%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CFP
5 - 1
ALG
80%
13%
8%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SVA
2 - 1
ALG
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |