Calvi Noale vs Alto Vicentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
70.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvi Noale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LEG
2 - 0
CNO
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 1
UNI
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 1
SDA
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FON
3 - 2
CNO
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CNO
1 - 1
MES
28%
22%
49%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alto Vicentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ACE
3 - 2
AVI
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AVI
3 - 1
VIG
85%
10%
5%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 1
AVI
75%
16%
8%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 3
AVI
85%
12%
3%
|
43 | 81 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AVI
1 - 4
COR
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |