Calvão vs Uniao Lamas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
AVA
4 - 1
CAL
79%
14%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 3
RDA
11%
18%
72%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BAI
3 - 0
CAL
25%
23%
53%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
4 - 1
OVA
8%
15%
77%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | +5 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
ESM
22%
22%
56%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Uniao Lamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
ESC
82%
12%
5%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MEA
1 - 2
UNI
16%
20%
65%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 0
SOU
85%
11%
4%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 0
UNI
18%
21%
62%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAN
85%
11%
4%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | -1 |