Calvão vs Alba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 0
CAL
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAR
22%
22%
56%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BUS
2 - 0
CAL
84%
12%
5%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Alba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 1
ESC
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MEA
1 - 2
ALB
11%
18%
71%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALB
3 - 0
SOU
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SCP
8 - 1
ALB
87%
11%
2%
|
36 | 86 | 50 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 1
UNI
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |