Calpe vs UD Horadada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
THD
1 - 0
CAL
21%
21%
59%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
BEN
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
PET
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 3
CAL
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD Horadada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HON
0 - 1
HOR
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 2
THD
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
HOR
69%
17%
13%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HOR
0 - 2
ALM
19%
22%
60%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PET
3 - 0
HOR
61%
21%
19%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |