Calpe vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
POR
0 - 1
CAL
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAL
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
RAC
0 - 1
CAL
13%
17%
69%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 3
DEN
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PED
1 - 0
CAL
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
PEG
0 - 2
JAV
25%
24%
51%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
TAV
3 - 2
PEG
76%
14%
9%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PEG
1 - 1
UNI
37%
26%
38%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SFF
0 - 0
PEG
19%
22%
60%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PEG
2 - 0
GAN
12%
18%
71%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |