Calpe vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
CAL
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAL
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 2
CAL
16%
19%
66%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
CAL
11%
17%
73%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 0
CUL
85%
10%
4%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RAF
0 - 0
HOR
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
THD
6 - 1
RAF
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 0
BEN
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ASP
3 - 2
RAF
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 1
RED
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |