Calpe vs Callosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CUL
1 - 4
CAL
9%
16%
75%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
ALT
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
XER
0 - 2
CAL
17%
20%
64%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
FIN
85%
11%
5%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
RAF
1 - 2
CAL
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Callosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 3
MUT
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
OLI
3 - 0
CAL
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 1
GAN
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CIU
2 - 0
CAL
46%
23%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
UDO
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |