Pref. Valenciana Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Calpe vs Almazora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
CAL
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
VIJ
0 - 2
CAL
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
NUC
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CDC
0 - 5
CAL
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
SFF
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Almazora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
CAL
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CUL
1 - 3
ALM
10%
20%
71%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
BUR
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
UDP
0 - 2
ALM
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 2
OND
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |