Calig vs Vilanova D'Alcolea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
POB
2 - 3
CAL
62%
20%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CLU
3 - 3
CAL
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 3
CFA
47%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
USM
2 - 2
CAL
55%
20%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
CAT
11%
17%
73%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 3
CLU
57%
20%
22%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CFA
0 - 1
VIL
42%
23%
36%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
USM
46%
22%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
CAT
3 - 0
VIL
86%
10%
5%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
SAL
35%
23%
41%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |