Calig vs Vilanova D'Alcolea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 0
ALC
27%
23%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
ORP
38%
23%
40%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
TRR
1 - 1
CAL
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CDB
1 - 0
CAL
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
VIN
41%
23%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 2
TRA
19%
22%
59%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
IBA
12%
19%
69%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BEN
3 - 1
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PEN
4 - 0
VIL
78%
14%
9%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ORP
0 - 1
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |