Calig vs Vilanova D'Alcolea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 0
ESP
35%
23%
42%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 2
CAL
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
4 - 1
CLU
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIN
1 - 2
CAL
59%
21%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TRR
3 - 2
CAL
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vilanova D'Alcolea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CLU
1 - 1
VIL
57%
20%
24%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
CIN
48%
22%
30%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 5
VAL
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
VIL
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ATZ
3 - 1
VIL
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |