Calig vs UD Sant Mateu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+386%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 1
CAL
69%
18%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 1
EFC
22%
20%
58%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIN
1 - 0
CAL
41%
22%
37%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
3 - 3
CAL
31%
22%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
VIL
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UD Sant Mateu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CFA
2 - 3
USM
39%
22%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
USM
2 - 4
POB
54%
21%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
USM
0 - 5
CAT
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 1
USM
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
USM
1 - 1
EFC
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |