Calig vs Orpesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
TRR
3 - 2
CAL
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
POB
23%
22%
54%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BLC
1 - 1
CAL
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 0
LOR
27%
21%
51%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VDO
2 - 0
CAL
58%
19%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ORP
2 - 1
TRA
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ORP
2 - 0
MOR
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TRR
3 - 0
ORP
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ORP
0 - 4
POB
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BLC
0 - 2
ORP
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |