Calig vs Morella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
4 - 0
ORP
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VIN
1 - 3
CAL
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
4 - 1
BEN
21%
20%
59%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
6 - 3
CAL
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 4
PED
57%
21%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -3 |
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAT
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ORP
8 - 2
MOR
68%
18%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
CAB
59%
20%
22%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VIN
4 - 0
MOR
51%
22%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |