Calig vs Onda B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
68.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ROD
6 - 0
CAL
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
CAL
61%
20%
19%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
IBA
18%
20%
62%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
CAL
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ORP
3 - 0
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Onda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OND
2 - 2
ORP
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
OND
3 - 0
VIN
55%
21%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 3
OND
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
OND
1 - 3
TRA
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PED
3 - 2
OND
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |