Calig vs Chert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
CAL
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 4
VIN
26%
22%
53%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ESP
4 - 0
CAL
32%
22%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 3
ALB
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CLU
1 - 2
CAL
14%
19%
68%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
5 - 1
TIR
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
CHE
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
4 - 3
BOR
37%
23%
40%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CIN
3 - 4
CHE
24%
23%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ATZ
3 - 0
CHE
43%
22%
35%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |