Calig vs Catí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
CAB
2 - 4
CAL
60%
20%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
OND
3 - 1
CAL
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 3
ROD
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 4
CAL
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Catí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 3
ORP
24%
22%
55%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 0
CAT
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 0
BEN
30%
22%
49%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 0
CAT
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAB
4 - 2
CAT
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |