Calig vs Benicense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
6 - 3
CAL
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 4
PED
57%
21%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -3 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
POB
1 - 3
CAL
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
RAF
18%
19%
64%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
3 - 2
CAL
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benicense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
ORP
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIN
2 - 1
BEN
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 2
MOR
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
TRA
30%
23%
48%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PED
2 - 3
BEN
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |