Calig vs Rafalafena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
63.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
3 - 2
CAL
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
CAB
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAL
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
4 - 0
OND
14%
17%
68%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ROD
6 - 0
CAL
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 2
ORP
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIN
0 - 0
RAF
24%
21%
56%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 2
BEN
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 1
RAF
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 0
PED
81%
12%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |