Calheta vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calheta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAL
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAN
27%
23%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PON
1 - 2
CAL
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
POR
78%
15%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
1MA
1 - 1
CAL
47%
24%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
AND
51%
23%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
CRU
32%
24%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
POR
4 - 1
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
MAC
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |