Calheta vs Pontassolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calheta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 4
CAL
36%
24%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
1MA
55%
23%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AND
1 - 2
CAL
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 1
CAL
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pontassolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PON
4 - 0
AND
82%
13%
6%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
PON
13%
19%
68%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 3
PON
13%
20%
68%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PON
2 - 0
POR
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 4
PON
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |